When Does Dealer Stop Blackjack

Of course, the blackjack dealer doesn’t always win, but many people feel the dealer wins a disproportionate number of times in blackjack. It’s a basic rule of the casino business that the house only offers games where it has an “edge”.

The house’s edge is baked into the game.

Mar 21, 2019  If the dealer does have 21, the player will lose the initial bet but will receive a 1:1 payout on their insurance amount, and so they will receive that same amount back. If both have 21, most blackjack rules say that is a push. Some casino 21 rules, though, give.

But the edge doesn’t guarantee the dealer will always win. Over the long run the dealer should only win slightly more often than a perfect player.

So what gives?

The old adage “perception is reality” works on one level because you play the game by how you perceive it. But on another level appearances can be deceiving. And sometimes the players themselves are responsible for the deceptive appearances.

Here are 7 reasons why the blackjack dealer always seems to win.

1 – Players May Not Understand Probabilities Well Enough

If you’re not trying to count cards, then you don’t even need to worry about the probabilities. Basic blackjack strategy takes all that into consideration.

In blackjack there are only two kinds of probabilities players should think about. The first and most well-known is the division between theoretical return to player and house edge.

Contrary to some players’ thinking, the house edge doesn’t predict how often the house wins. The house edge predicts how much money the house keeps. The assumption behind the house edge is wager-neutral.

In other words, the statistical likelihood that the house keeps about 1% of the money over the long-term doesn’t have anything to do with how much players bet on each game. The payout odds are calculated on the assumption that everything happens in random fashion.

Although the house needs to win a lot in blackjack to get ahead, the differences between payout odds and probabilities of card play create the edge. In any gambling game, if there is a statistical 50-50 chance of a certain outcome, the house will pay less than 1:1 on the odds.

The only other probability players need to care about is the probability that the next card they are dealt helps them. How many people are playing at your table doesn’t matter. What matters is what’s left in the shoe when it’s your turn for a card.

2 – The Number of Hands You Play per Hour Matters

If you’re playing head to head with the dealer, you can go through as many as 200 hands in an hour. If there are four other people at the table with you then each round takes longer. You’ll play fewer hands per hour.

Just using basic strategy against the house, you’ll lose money over time. The game is designed to pay slightly less than the true probabilities allow. So the more hands you play, the more likely the house will “win” your money away from you.

When does dealer stop hitting in blackjack

You should still win a lot of hands against the dealer. The house’s strategy is a long game. The more hands you play the more likely they’ll keep some or all of your money.

3 – Bad Game Play Provides the House with a “Hidden” Edge

The casino counts on most players making mistakes or bad calls. An inexperienced player makes a bad call. An experienced player who should know better makes a mistake.

Either way, if you hit or stand when you shouldn’t you make it more likely that the house wins.

If you split when you shouldn’t you make it more likely that the house wins. If you miss an opportunity to split it’s not so bad but you could win twice or more against the house on a favorable split.

On those rare occasions when doubling down would pay off well, if you don’t see the opportunity you’ll pass it by.

Player strategy often enhances the house’s strategy. And whereas you decide your strategy on the fly the house is playing by a very simple rule book. House strategy never changes.

I imagine a guy dancing around a fight ring, trying to show off, while the dealer waits to whack him hard in the face. Your opponent isn’t going anywhere, trying to do flashy moves, or hiding anything. He’s just waiting for you to do something stupid.

With few exceptions players sometimes make it easy for the dealer by using the wrong strategy.

4 – The House Undermines Your Advantage Play

If you count cards the way most people advise you to, you’ll raise and lower your bets in a predictable fashion. This is like jumping up on the table, waving your arms, and shouting “hey, I’m counting cards!”

That strategy may have worked well in the 1960s but today’s casinos just shuffle the cards. All your counting is wasted time and energy.

This is why card counters like to work in teams. They can be more subtle, although the casinos still look for coordinated play.

Continuous shuffling machines may have ruined card counting forever. If not, the larger shoes and option to reshuffle on a whim make card counting a less rewarding strategy for most players.

If it seems like the house is winning more than you think they should, it could be you’re counting cards badly or needlessly.

5 – Are You Tipping the Dealer?

The dealer literally wins when you leave a tip. While this is considered a courteous habit and one I myself practice, it makes it all that much harder for you to get ahead.

I limit my tips to when I leave the table. I’ve seen some players split their winnings on big bets with the dealer. Assuming that’s completely legit, it still reduces the player’s winnings.

Whether you tip the dealer or not, the house is winning if you do tip the dealer. Those tips help casino employees pay their bills. I’ve seen some people argue against tipping because it “supports the system”.

I don’t think it’s fair to push casino employees into a moral quagmire. Either tip or don’t tip, but the tip costs you money. It does affect your win-loss ratio proportionate to how often and how much you tip.

6 – Is the Dealer Feeding You Bad Advice?

I’ve played a few tables where the dealers answered player questions. Blackjack dealers don’t have to be expert players. They only follow one strategy.

If you’ve got a friendly dealer who shares advice, he or she may be well-intentioned but that doesn’t mean they know the best strategy.

I’ve never questioned the integrity of a blackjack dealer. But they may push a progressive bet option. If you want a guaranteed way to improve the house edge in blackjack, go for the progressive wager on the side.

7 – Are You Using a Betting System?

Sooner or later someone sits down at the table with a betting system ready to go. Card counters raise their wagers when they believe the deck favors them but I’ve seen other betting systems.

One guy alternated his bets. He played $25 on one hand and $50 on the next. If he had played perfect strategy it shouldn’t have mattered.

When you talk betting strategies with people someone always brings up the Martingale System. The strategy is simple. Only make minimum wagers until you lose and then double your wager on the next bet to win back what you lost.

The Martingale System requires an endless supply of money, luck, or both. I’ve never met a great blackjack player who believed in a betting system. The best players I’ve sat next to had a set wager amount they always played and stuck to their games.

Conclusion

One of the most important things in gambling is to manage your expectations. The more you expect to win the greater your disappointment will be.

I don’t walk into a casino expecting to lose all my money. I expect to enjoy myself. I want to get the most value for my time and money spent there.

When people allow their expectations to get out of hand they try to make up for disappointment with risky bets. I’ve been one of those guys who got so frustrated he started making aggressive wagers.

When you stop caring about how well you’re playing you should walk away from the table. You can always go back later when you’re feeling better.

The only way the house doesn’t win is if you enjoy yourself and stay in budget. Dropping $200 at a casino is no different from buying $200 concert tickets.

If it’s all for fun and you enjoy yourself the house can’t take that away from you.

Plato
Dear readers,
Whenever a dealer's up card is an Ace Insurance is offered and after it has closed she peeks to see if she has a natural. My question is the following: apart from the aforementioned scenario is there any other time where the dealer peeks to see if she has a Blackjack?
Thank you.
Deucekies
If the up card is a ten-value card, the dealer will immediately check for an Ace underneath.
If the up card is an Ace, the dealer will offer insurance, and then check for a ten-value card underneath.
Casinos are not your friends, they want your money. But so does Disneyland. And there is no chance in hell that you will go to Disneyland and come back with more money than you went with. - AxelWolf and Mickeycrimm
Plato
'If the up card is a ten-value card, the dealer will immediately check for an Ace underneath.'
If the dealer indeed has an Ace underneath, will she reveal it immediately?
charliepatrick
I believe most US casinos 'peek' for any possible Blackjack, so would check when their up-card is a ten-value card or Ace. For completeness there are some casinos that don't 'peek'. Also I've seen reference to some that might only peek Aces and/or Tens.
(US) Atlantic City used to (may still do) not deal a second card to the dealer, so their Blackjack is only determined when all players have acted. However if the dealer does get Blackjack, only the original bet is lost - any doubles or splits are not lost.
(ENHC) In Europe, it is called European No Hole Card, the dealer also does not take a second card but any doubles or splits are lost. This means a slight change in strategy; also, unless you have a Blackjack, insurance isn't normally offered.
(Australia) There are various rules and the Wizard's site has details.
Dieter

If the dealer indeed has an Ace underneath, will she reveal it immediately?


Usually.
It is in the casino's interest to do so, from a hands-per-hour perspective.
May the cards fall in your favor.
1BB
I remember the 'old days' when the hands were completed before checking for blackjack. It could be frustrating at times for dealers and players alike in that the split and double portion of all bets had to be returned to the player. Split aces, get two 21s and lose. Yikes.
I say old days but that's how Foxwoods started and they opened in '92.
Many people, especially ignorant people, want to punish you for speaking the truth. - Mahatma Ghandi
Dieter

I say old days but that's how Foxwoods started and they opened in '92.


Hole card peek devices were fairly new at that time. I believe that the Tech Art version was introduced around 1990.
May the cards fall in your favor.
beachbumbabs
Administrator

Hole card peek devices were fairly new at that time. I believe that the Tech Art version was introduced around 1990.


We didn't have them in 1985, I know that much. They were very particular as to how we peeked without exposure (finger placement etc.)
If the House lost every hand, they wouldn't deal the game.
Plato

Usually.
It is in the casino's interest to do so, from a hands-per-hour perspective.


So, everyone who does not have a natural loses immediately?
Dieter

So, everyone who does not have a natural loses immediately?


Yes.
The long version:
A natural 21 ('Blackjack') ties another natural, and beats every other hand.

When Does Dealer Stop Blackjack Go

Anyone who does not have a natural is going to lose, no matter what they do.
Stopping the play at this point allows the next round of play to begin, increasing the number of hands per hour - which is advantageous to anyone playing with a positive expectation.
This should be exactly equivalent to 'OBO' (but not OBBO) for settling the current round, but changes subsequent rounds.

When Does Dealer Stop Blackjack Go


I believe there are some variants where the hole card of a ten-up might not be checked right away, and they may push any player 21.

When Does Dealer Stop Blackjack Work


Ask if the house rules for blackjack are available to review. There are about two dozen rule variations I can think of, and most of them combine with each other to make a broad variety of rule sets.

When Does Dealer Stop Blackjack Play

If you encounter a 2:1 table where any two card 21 gets the 'natural bonus', let me know -- I will make a detour for a few hours. (I fully expect that this unicorn is next to the faro tables.)

When Does Dealer Stop Blackjack On Iphone

May the cards fall in your favor.